Starter
EUR 0.99 one-time
One-time payment — no recurring charge
- 5 full match analyses
- Use within 30 days
- Full probability breakdowns
We have moved to a clearer, more subscriber-friendly domain: MatchProbs.com. The platform, accounts, and football probability engine remain the same — only the public brand and domain are changing.
Existing users can log in with the same email and password at MatchProbs.com.
Go to MatchProbsExplore match probabilities, team form and relevant pre-match evidence in one structured report. See what matters, check the supporting data and understand what information is missing.
Brier score measures the squared error between published probabilities and actual outcomes. Lower is better; a lower score alone does not establish better calibration.
We publish an updated 60-day Brier score every month.
Statistical estimates, not guarantees or betting advice.
Report date:
Probabilities are the starting point. Open the report for context, evidence and Data Status.
Read the complete free reportRead the complete report below, including supporting evidence and data limitations.
All report sections are included. Starter and Elite let you choose the matches you analyze.
Bring the probabilities and available match context together, without assembling and interpreting separate sources yourself.
Compare home win, draw and away win probabilities. Explore goals, BTTS and other projections where data is available.
Start with a concise factual summary of the probabilities and the most relevant available team and match context.
Check what is available, how current it is and where gaps limit the analysis.
Explore form, standings, head-to-head records, expected goals, player availability, referee profiles, corners, cards and fouls where available.
The complete report format is the same on Free, Starter and Elite. Data availability varies by match.
Explore the complete report before choosing your own matches.
Statistical estimates, not guarantees or betting advice.
For a few matches you want to explore in detail.
Starter grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
For following many matches and analyzing regularly.
Subscription grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
MatchProbs records every published probability so settled forecasts can be evaluated together. This shows whether probabilities behave consistently across many matches.
The live supported-leagues page is the source of truth for current competition and fixture availability. Coverage can vary by matchday and available source data.
View supported leagues →Common questions about MatchProbs
One complete daily analysis is free. Starter and Elite provide the same report for matches you choose.
Compare MatchProbs access options for football probability reports, match analysis and supported markets. Sign in to review or manage the plan available to your account.
For a few matches you want to explore in detail.
Starter grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
For following many matches and analyzing regularly.
Subscription grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
Starter is a one-time EUR 0.99 payment (5 analyses, valid 30 days) with no recurring charge. Elite is a recurring EUR 19.99/month subscription; you can cancel at any time and access continues until the end of the current billing period.
MatchProbs ("the Service") is a football match probability analysis platform operated by Integrata AI Kft. ("we", "us", "our"), a company registered in Hungary (EU VAT: HU24153841). The Service generates statistical probability estimates for football match outcomes by combining multiple data sources and analytical models.
You must provide a valid email address and create a password to register an account. Each individual may maintain only one account. You are responsible for maintaining the security of your account credentials. You must provide accurate information and keep it up to date. We reserve the right to suspend or terminate accounts that violate these terms.
All payments are processed through Stripe and denominated in Euros (EUR). Subscriptions auto-renew at the end of each billing period unless cancelled. You may cancel at any time; access continues until the end of the current billing period. Refunds are handled on a case-by-case basis.
The Starter package is a one-time purchase of EUR 0.99 granting 5 full match analyses, valid for 30 days from the date of successful payment. It is a one-time payment with no recurring charge and does not renew. Unused analyses do not carry over after the 30-day period ends. The Starter package may be purchased only once per account. Once the 5 analyses are used or the 30 days have elapsed, continued access requires an Elite subscription at EUR 19.99 per month. By starting the Service immediately upon payment, you expressly request immediate performance of the contract and acknowledge that you lose your statutory 14-day right of withdrawal under EU Directive 2011/83 once the digital service has been provided.
The Service is for personal, non-commercial use only. You may not redistribute, resell, or publicly display MatchProbs outputs for commercial purposes. Automated scraping, bulk data extraction, or programmatic access outside of provided interfaces is prohibited. You may not attempt to reverse-engineer the analysis engine or its underlying models.
The MatchProbs system, its output format, user interface, and underlying analytical models are the intellectual property of Integrata AI Kft. You may use the outputs for personal analysis. You do not acquire any ownership rights to the outputs or the methods used to generate them.
MatchProbs outputs are probabilistic estimates based on available data. They are not guarantees of any outcome. We make no representations about the accuracy or reliability of predictions for any specific match. You acknowledge that football outcomes are inherently uncertain and that no statistical model can predict them with certainty. We are not liable for any losses — financial or otherwise — arising from use of the Service or reliance on its outputs.
We may suspend or terminate your account at our discretion if we determine that you have violated these terms, engaged in abuse of the Service, or used the Service in a manner that is harmful to other users or to our operations. In cases of termination for cause, no refund is owed.
These terms are governed by the laws of Hungary. Any disputes arising from these terms or use of the Service shall be resolved in the courts of Hungary.
We may update these terms from time to time. Material changes will be communicated via email to the address associated with your account. Continued use of the Service after changes take effect constitutes acceptance of the updated terms.
The data controller for personal data processed through MatchProbs is Integrata AI Kft., a company registered in Hungary (EU VAT: HU24153841). For privacy-related inquiries, contact privacy@pfisport.com.
We process your data on the following bases under the GDPR:
We share data with the following third parties, solely for the purposes described:
Under the GDPR, you have the right to:
To exercise any of these rights, email privacy@pfisport.com.
MatchProbs uses localStorage to store your authentication token, optional-cookie choices, and a non-identifying marker that prevents repeat purchase events. Microsoft Clarity usability analytics, including heatmaps and session-interaction analysis, activates only after analytics consent. The Google Ads base tag and Reddit Pixel activate only after separate marketing consent, and Google advertising personalization remains disabled. The Google base tag currently sends no MatchProbs purchase-conversion event. The Reddit Pixel receives PageVisit plus server-verified Purchase value, currency, and product metadata; it receives no email address or customer identifier from MatchProbs. You can change or withdraw either choice through Cookie settings.
MatchProbs is a probability calculation algorithm. The Service generates statistical analyses and probability estimates from football match data, for informational purposes only.
MatchProbs does not provide advice of any kind. Content displayed on the platform does not constitute a professional, financial, or any other decision-making recommendation.
Predictions displayed are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees. A 90% probability still means the other outcome occurs roughly 1 in 10 times. No statistical model can eliminate the fundamental uncertainty of sporting events.
Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Calibration metrics reflect performance across large samples and do not guarantee the accuracy of individual predictions or future model performance.
MatchProbs makes no express or implied warranty regarding the output of the Service. This includes, but is not limited to, fitness for a particular purpose, data accuracy, completeness, or currency.
The user utilizes the Service output at their own discretion and own responsibility. MatchProbs does not control or influence what decisions the user makes based on the information.
MatchProbs accepts no liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, or special damages arising from use of the Service or reliance on the information displayed.
MatchProbs is an independent statistical analysis service. We have no business, intermediary, or partner relationship with any third party that could profit from the displayed data.
By using MatchProbs, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this disclaimer and accept that MatchProbs is not responsible for any decisions you make based on the information provided by the Service.
MatchProbs sells digital football probability-analysis access. This page explains how refund and withdrawal requests are handled for paid digital access.
Paid digital access may begin after purchase, account activation, or when the relevant report becomes available, depending on the product. Once digital access has started, refund and withdrawal rights may be limited under applicable law.
If paid digital access has not started, contact support to request cancellation or withdrawal review.
Refunds for duplicate payments, technical payment errors, or legally required refunds may be reviewed. Contact support@matchprobs.com with your account email and the Stripe receipt or payment reference.
MatchProbs probability analysis is not a betting guarantee and no result is guaranteed. Dissatisfaction with a probability outcome is not a basis for a refund.
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Check your email to verify your account. You can browse the plans below, but analyzing fixtures requires a verified email.
One-time payment — no recurring charge
Recurring subscription